Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 2.823573 3.378502 3.999193 4.742739 5.606983 6.577496 7.747432
2025-11-09 1.936407 2.614301 3.454250 4.562876 5.977907 7.712925 9.989254
2025-11-16 1.469710 2.195214 3.173433 4.569801 6.489122 9.008465 12.534010
2025-11-23 1.160909 1.894263 2.958024 4.581013 6.954095 10.248408 15.105603
2025-11-30 0.927707 1.640975 2.746168 4.535178 7.296566 11.319900 17.522514
2025-12-07 0.718893 1.375109 2.458357 4.312823 7.323611 11.910353 19.275195
2025-12-14 0.593217 1.218231 2.310375 4.275274 7.609755 12.889744 21.669100
2025-12-21 0.497570 1.093006 2.190606 4.258519 7.913417 13.907725 24.193850
2025-12-28 0.455360 1.059845 2.226016 4.510156 8.686476 15.737931 28.155296
2026-01-04 0.403614 0.996056 2.192457 4.628133 9.232927 17.232062 31.677125
2026-01-11 0.367200 0.956907 2.199092 4.818920 9.924272 19.022822 35.827276
2026-01-18 0.318458 0.879460 2.115059 4.819239 10.257540 20.208749 39.017389
2026-01-25 0.261698 0.771490 1.951581 4.642094 10.242804 20.789695 41.228122
2026-02-01 0.215297 0.677812 1.802901 4.473635 10.223857 21.358202 43.460805
2026-02-08 0.187485 0.626047 1.740901 4.482942 10.562904 22.623222 47.065540
2026-02-15 0.163875 0.579918 1.684052 4.494748 10.905708 23.919178 50.818297
2026-02-22 0.141002 0.529765 1.607940 4.449926 11.119339 24.973101 54.176305
2026-03-01 0.114492 0.460444 1.468611 4.231379 10.922129 25.176658 55.875805
2026-03-08 0.098958 0.422405 1.406382 4.194485 11.130266 26.227450 59.334679
2026-03-15 0.086292 0.390456 1.355173 4.178019 11.382619 27.388040 63.092474
2026-03-22 0.082882 0.391583 1.401164 4.425431 12.289060 30.017718 70.055994
2026-03-29 0.076042 0.377598 1.399007 4.541436 12.886029 32.013581 75.811865
2026-04-05 0.071567 0.371819 1.421495 4.729044 13.678394 34.496387 82.751590